The latest report by the Government Actuary's Department (GAD)
paints a pretty grim picture for the future of the State Pension. It projects
the National Insurance fund used to pay out the State Pension will be exhausted
within 15 years. The result? The harsh reality is that, as the aging population
bites the cost of the state pension will inevitably boom.
There will have to be a reduction in public services to cover the
cost or taxpayers will have to pick up the slack to the tune of hundreds of
billions of pounds. There really are no winners on this.
Should we be surprised though?
The issue has been known for the past few decades (or more) but no
political party in power wants to address the issue. The State Pension, Income
Tax and National Insurance are all political decisions. Politicians aren’t
exactly famed for their long term thinking and planning given longevity in
their position is all too rare. Let me put this into perspective, Esther McVey
become the fifth Secretary of State For Work & Pensions since 2012. How can
we expect long term joined up thinking with such a high turnover in the key position?
(such a key position that only 1 in 1000 people new who she was in a recent
survey!!!)
Then add to the fact that any Government that does take positive
action to address the State Pension blackhole will receive a huge negative
snowball from those people or areas that will have to pay for it……hardly any
encouragement to show courage and leadership is it. Hardly a vote or popularity
winner.
We have a very ‘safe’ Government currently that will simply kick
the can down the road for someone else to pick up……and there is a readymade
excuse of Brexit negotiations that the Government can use to duck taking
ownership. Convenient. Very convenient.
But make no mistake, at some point extremely tough decisions will
need to be taken as demographic reality hits the UK finances.
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