Saturday, 31 January 2015

UK Growth - More Than Meets The Eye

Figures from the Office for National Statistics this week have shown that the UK's economy grew by 2.6% last year.
 
The blue corner (and I guess yellow as well) will tell you that this is the fastest pace of growth since 2007 and up from 1.7% in 2013. Chancellor George Osborne said the figures showed the economy was "on track".
 
All good then?
 
Well......as the red corner have been very quick to point out, the economy grew by 0.5% in the final three months of 2014, which was a slowdown from 0.7% growth recorded in the previous three months. Shadow chancellor Ed Balls said the slowdown in fourth-quarter growth was a concern, and that "Tory claims that the economy is fixed will ring hollow with working people" whose "wages are down by £1,600 a year since 2010 in real terms".
 
Economists were mixed over whether the loss of momentum in the final quarter might be temporary or prolonged. However, the deceleration is not surprising in view of the flatlining of the UK's main trading partner……the Eurozone.
 
One thing is for sure……the fourth-quarter figure hardly set the world alight and it's clear that the UK economy is slowing.
 
The biggest cloud looming large on the horizon is the general election as there is no clear favourite and this creates uncertainty.
 
Just don’t expect politicians to tell you that there is political uncertainty though!

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