Tuesday, 1 July 2025

The Month That Was……June 2025

June has been a funny old month of jumping from one video conference to another for regulatory briefings, pension legislation changes and economic guidance. I know……living the dream. It really feels like death by webinar.

One of the most disturbing things I have learnt is that we are now morphing into a completely different language. And quite frankly, I am baffled by the moronic meaningless maunder.

“Just to bring you up to speed and take a deep dive before we circle back and drill down on the granular detail” was the opening line from Hugo on my webinar last week. When Hugo caught someone smirking on video (it wasn’t me, I was wiping the blood from my eye as I had stuck a fork in it) he responded with “I am pivoting to get you up to speed so you can hit the ground running and start on a level playing field.” Wow……and this was from a compliance consultant.

The day before, Casandra provided detailed analysis of new pension legislation by delivering “no one is trying to reinvent the wheel here, I’m just reaching out to run a few ideas up the flagpole and see who grabs the low-hanging fruit.” And just for good measure, apparently it is “going to require a paradigm shift in your attitude and a step change in gear.”

When I reached my third webinar of the week, I quickly looked to see who was presenting…….Dave. Thank goodness for that. A proper steady name and one that won’t be new-world brown box thinking. That was until the second minute when he let me down with “no one is trying to reinvent the playing field because I just wanted to loop you into a holistic approach from the get-go.” That handy fork was now in my other eye.

Perhaps the most disturbing thing of all is that the linguistic disease is highly contagious. I have since found myself “putting ducks in a row”, “getting plenty of boots on the ground”, “optimising the visuals” and “synergise to energise”.

Be very careful out there guys as it’s like the wild west as the sound bar is totally transmittable.

I’m off for some blue sky thinking to ensure I am an early adopter to move the needle on all things mission critical to ensure core competency.

Or alternatively, shoot me now.

 

The Numbers

This month’s numbers were dominated by Rachel Reeves Spending Review and announcement to Parliament.

The hours, days, weeks and even months after a Spending Review can feel like peeling away the layers of an onion.

First, there is the speech from the chancellor in the Commons: the political rhetoric and the numbers often designed to sound big but which are often incomprehensible. Then there are accompanying documents……in this instance in particular a blue-covered, 128 page tome crammed with words, numbers and graphs.

And as the detail is pored over, elements that were not put up in lights by the chancellor become clearer.

The main political message of the spending review was to announce plans to “renew Britain”, betting that £20 billion a year in extra funding for public infrastructure such as railways, roads and power would spur the economy and improve living standards by the time voters go to the polls. Reeves promised an extra £29 billion a year for the NHS and cut spending elsewhere to channel money to “our most treasured public service”.

Reeves’s ferociously tight numbers leave no room for downturns, pay strikes, trade wars or shooting wars. Her plans also depend on £14 billion in hazily detailed “efficiency savings”. Significant tax rises look far more likely come the next Budget in Autumn.

Public spending is running at 44% of GDP, a historic high. Taxes, too, are historically high and universally expected to go higher.

Her report highlighted that, not only have we been spending like crazy (not least because of the pandemic) but we’ve been spending money we don’t have. The resulting annual bill of more than £100 billion just to cover the interest on our debts is quite the burden.

These numbers can be hard to put into context so consider this way of looking at it……we are now spending £23,757 for every adult in this country, which is roughly 65% of the average full-time salary (£37,500). That includes £3,807 on health, £5,817 on welfare and pensions and a shocking £1,955 for that debt bill.

Now, just for a bit of fun……restrict the calculation to those of working age and spending is above £30,000 a head. Factor in economic inactivity and the state is spending nearly as much as workers aged 18 to 65 are earning.

This is very obviously not sustainable, so is Rachel Reeves the right person to find the solution?

Elsewhere……

Love or loath, Amazon is ploughing in another £40 billion to the UK over the next 3 years for yet more expansion plans. Amazon is now one of the UK’s top 10 private employers with 75,000 members of staff.

And spare a thought for Elon Musk……his net worth dropped by $34 billion in a day as his personal feud with The Trump hit Tesla’s share price. The fortune of the world’s richest man fell to $335 billion, with his net worth declining by $98 billion since January. It is clearly an expensive hobby to be associated with the orange one.

My favourite number this month was……800……the little lady put on a fine display in the 800 metres at sports day.

 

Trump of the Month

There was some classic lunacy at front and centre stage this month and it wasn’t hard to find.

Elon Musk and The Trump ended their bromance over social media in a tit-for-tat slanging match in response to Musk disagreeing with The Trump’s proposed economic bill. Musk declared "I'm the reason Trump won!" and that The Trump was on "Epstein’s client list!" What Musk failed to mention is that he spent $275 million to elect a man he apparently knew to be ‘associated’ with Epstein. Crazy.

The Trump rose the lunacy stakes further by placing a travel ban on 12 countries after the targeted Boulder terror attack, yet didn’t ban the country where the attacker was from (Egypt).

There are clues as to why that is the case……the US and Egypt have a strong defence alliance……a partnership that the US calls a "pillar for regional stability". Egypt is one of the biggest beneficiaries of US economic and military aid in the Middle East, receiving a total of $1.4 billion from US agencies.

Then there was The Trump bombing Iran. In typical fashion……he created a problem……backed down……said he solved the problem……patted himself on the back.

And don’t get me started on Rachel Reeves desperate political u-turn on the winter fuel payment. It’s amazing how things change. Just a few months ago Rachel Reeves told us the financial situation was so grim she had no choice but to take the winter fuel payment from all but the poorest pensioners. And now, thanks to Labour, it’s all going so well she can afford to give it back. Utter madness. She must be on borrowed time.

All worthy, but this month’s Trump of the Month for absolute dedication to lunacy is……Daniel Hannan. I have waited 9 long years for this.

This month marked the ninth anniversary of the EU referendum of June 2016. This is a date that will be seared in many of your brains and will, for all the wrong reasons, be a permanent fixture in history books.

What you might not be aware of is that June 2025, is also a symbolic month……this is the date that featured in an article written by Conservative Party member, Vote Leave co-founder and former MEP……Daniel Hannan.

In his piece written two days before the referendum, Hannan invited us to cast our minds forward to June 2025 and imagine a utopian world where Britain is no longer part of the European Union. He writes of Independence Day celebrations with fireworks, improved relations with the EU and a country where the economy, democracy and liberty have all been reinvigorated thanks to nine years outside the EU.

Meanwhile, in Hannan’s imaginary world, the EU “continues to turn inwards, clinging to its dream of political amalgamation as the euro and migration crises worsen. Its population is ageing, its share of world GDP shrinking and its peoples protesting.”

And the article goes on like this for several paragraphs of sunlit Brexit uplands.

Of course, none of this has come to pass. Instead, Brexit has left the UK isolated, had a disastrous impact on the economy and is widely acknowledged by even the staunchest Brexiteers as being a failure of epic proportions.

And what of Hannan now? What was his punishment for misleading voters? A peerage to the House of Lords by none other than……Boris Johnson. If anybody knows anything about lunacy and being rewarded for failure, it’s Bo Jo.

Good luck explaining that to any rational person. UK political craziness as its finest.  

Trump Lunacy Rating: 10 / 10

 

And Finally……

“One person's craziness is another person's reality.”

Tim Burton